Research and analysis
Historic and forecast benefit expenditure and caseload data usually consistent with the annual Budget and Autumn Statement.
These tables are produced under the terms of the Memorandum of Understanding with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). They reflect the government’s delivery plans, and the OBR’s additional judgments as set out in their economic and fiscal outlook.
The ‘Outturn and forecast: Autumn Statement 2016’ tables are consistent with the Autumn Statement 2016 economic and fiscal outlook – 23 November 2016.
The ‘Outturn and forecast: March Budget 2016’ tables are consistent with the Budget 2016 economic and fiscal outlook – 16 March 2016.
Tables showing benefit expenditure by local authority and by parliamentary constituency include Personal Independence Payment data for 2014/15 and 2015/16.
Historic expenditure figures may differ from those published in the accounts due to differing definitions and the inclusion of data that has become available since.
Historic caseload data comes from statistical reports. It may differ from previously published figures because these tables provide estimates for financial years, rather than point-in-time figures.
Some historical data may differ from that previously published where:
Forecasts are made using a number of techniques appropriate to the particular benefits, taking into account demographic, economic, social and policy factors.
Read more detailed information and guidance on this data.
The Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) is currently investigating a discrepancy with the medical condition and International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes for:
While we assess the scale of this issue we have removed the ‘ESA expenditure by reported medical condition and phase of claim 2010/11 to 2015/16’ tables.
When the tables are updated they will only be published on the tables page for 2017 as these will be based on the most up to date information.
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